AI PRICE FORECAST
BABA Stock Forecast & AI Price Prediction
Alibaba Group Holding Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
BABA live signal snapshot
BABA last traded at $101.52, down 1.17% on the session, trading 43.9% below its 52-week high of $181.10 and 10.4% above its 52-week low of $91.99. Our AI model's current call on BABA is SELL, with 70% confidence. Short-term moving averages are mixed right now, without a clean bullish or bearish stack forming yet. The model's one-month path points toward roughly $98.19 (-3.3% from here).
On the 14-day relative strength index, BABA reads 53.6, close to the midpoint, so momentum gives neither side an edge. Its MACD line is above its signal line with a positive histogram (0.44) — upward momentum is accelerating. Its 50-day average ($107.57) remains 13.0% below the 200-day ($123.60), the pattern chartists call a death cross.
The average 12-month target from 40 Wall Street analysts is $184.22 (range $95.81–$222.06) — 81.5% upside from where BABA trades now. The current recommendation trend leans bullish: 39 Buy/Strong Buy ratings vs 1 Sell/Strong Sell (and 1 Hold).
Live figures from real market data feeds, current as of the last site build. Open the interactive BABA dashboard for numbers updated throughout today's session.
About Alibaba Group Holding Limited
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) is an internet retail company in the consumer cyclical sector, headquartered in Hangzhou, China. Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It has a market value of about $252.6 billion and roughly 132,165 full-time employees. With a beta of 0.4, the stock has historically moved less than the overall market.
BABA performance vs. the market
BABA is down 30.7% so far in 2026, behind the S&P 500 (+11.4%) and behind the consumer cyclical sector fund XLY (+1.3%). On a one-year view it is down 38.8%, 50.3 points worse than the S&P 500. The last month (−8.4%) continues the three-month decline (−16.9%).
| Period | BABA | Sector (XLY) | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | −8.4% | +7.7% | −2.3% |
| 3 months | −16.9% | +2.1% | −2.3% |
| Year to date | −30.7% | +1.3% | +11.4% |
| 1 year | −38.8% | +1.3% | +11.5% |
Alibaba Group Holding Limited financials at a glance
In the quarter ended Jun 30, 2026, Alibaba Group Holding Limited reported revenue of $269.0 billion and net income of $10.5 billion (a 3.9% net margin). Revenue was up 8.6% from the same quarter a year earlier. The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.6 on trailing earnings of $4.13 per share. Trailing free cash flow was −$82.6 billion, and total debt equals 24% of shareholders' equity.
| Quarter ended | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $269.0B | $10.5B |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $243.4B | $25.5B |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $284.8B | $16.3B |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $247.8B | $21.0B |
BABA vs. its peers
Against 5 of its largest consumer cyclical peers, BABA's −30.7% year-to-date return beats 0 of them. The strongest of the group this year is Amazon.com (AMZN, +15.3%).
| Company | Price | YTD | P/E | AI verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) | $101.52 | −30.7% | 24.6 | SELL |
| Amazon.com (AMZN) | $266.17 | +15.3% | 21.5 | BUY |
| PDD Holdings (PDD) | $79.01 | −30.3% | 8.9 | SELL |
| JD.com (JD) | $27.85 | −3.0% | 19.5 | BUY |
| Tesla (TSLA) | $390.84 | −13.1% | 429.5 | BUY |
| The Home Depot (HD) | $351.31 | +2.1% | 24.6 | BUY |
BABA stock: common questions
What is the BABA stock price target?
40 Wall Street analysts put the average 12-month target at $184.22, in a range of $95.81–$222.06, versus a recent price of $101.52. Stock Pulse 247's model projects about $98.19 over the next month.
Is BABA a buy right now?
Our AI model currently rates BABA a SELL at 70% confidence. Among analysts, 39 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 1 Hold and 1 Sell. Neither is personal advice — weigh them with your own research and risk tolerance.
How has BABA stock performed this year?
BABA is down 30.7% so far in 2026, behind the S&P 500 (+11.4%) and behind the consumer cyclical sector fund XLY (+1.3%). On a one-year view it is down 38.8%, 50.3 points worse than the S&P 500. The last month (−8.4%) continues the three-month decline (−16.9%).
What is BABA's 52-week high and low?
BABA has traded between $91.99 and $181.10 over the past 52 weeks; at $101.52 it is 43.9% below its 52-week high of $181.10 and 10.4% above its 52-week low of $91.99.
What sector is BABA in, and who are its peers?
BABA is in the consumer cyclical sector (internet retail). Its largest peers on Stock Pulse 247 include Amazon.com (AMZN), PDD Holdings (PDD), JD.com (JD), Tesla (TSLA).
How accurate is the BABA forecast?
It's a model estimate from price history, technical indicators and analyst targets, not a guarantee — no model predicts short-term moves reliably. Use it as one input alongside your own research.
How this works: the forecast combines BABA's price history, momentum indicators (RSI, MACD, moving averages), volatility and analyst targets into one estimate. It's a model, not a guarantee.