AI PRICE FORECAST
TSM Stock Forecast & AI Price Prediction
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited · Technology · Semiconductors
TSM live signal snapshot
TSM last traded at $413.35, up 4.25% on the session, trading 15.2% below its 52-week high of $487.47 and 54.9% above its 52-week low of $266.82. Stock Pulse 247's AI model currently rates TSM a HOLD, at 68% model confidence. The technical signals aren't aligned enough for a directional call yet. Short-term momentum is deteriorating: the 5-, 10- and 20-day moving averages are stacked downward and price is holding below the 50-day average. The model's one-month path points toward roughly $430.18 (4.1% from here).
On the 14-day relative strength index, TSM reads 48.6, close to the midpoint, so momentum gives neither side an edge. Its MACD line is below its signal line with a negative histogram (-0.88) — downward momentum is accelerating. With the 50-day average at $430.68, 7.0% over the 200-day's $402.44, the longer-term trend structure remains positive.
The average 12-month target from 20 Wall Street analysts is $586.69 (range $440.00–$1000.00) — 41.9% upside from where TSM trades now. The current recommendation trend leans bullish: 20 Buy/Strong Buy ratings vs 0 Sell/Strong Sell (and 1 Hold).
Live figures from real market data feeds, current as of the last site build. Open the interactive TSM dashboard for numbers updated throughout today's session.
About Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) is a semiconductors company in the technology sector, headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, packages, tests, and sells integrated circuits and other semiconductor devices in Taiwan, China, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Japan, the… It has a market value of about $2.14 trillion and roughly 76,907 full-time employees. Its beta of 1.23 means it has historically moved roughly in line with the market.
TSM performance vs. the market
Since the start of 2026 the stock has risen 36.0%, ahead of the S&P 500 (+11.4%) and ahead of the technology sector fund XLK (+21.1%). On a one-year view it is up 40.0%, 28.5 points better than the S&P 500. The last month (−7.1%) continues the three-month decline (−4.0%).
| Period | TSM | Sector (XLK) | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | −7.1% | −11.2% | −2.3% |
| 3 months | −4.0% | −8.6% | −2.3% |
| Year to date | +36.0% | +21.1% | +11.4% |
| 1 year | +40.0% | +18.0% | +11.5% |
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited financials at a glance
In the quarter ended Sep 30, 2026, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited reported revenue of $1.49 trillion and net income of $763.1 billion (a 51.1% net margin). Revenue was up 50.9% from the same quarter a year earlier. The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.8 on trailing earnings of $15.43 per share. Trailing free cash flow was $1.20 trillion, and total debt equals 12% of shareholders' equity.
| Quarter ended | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | $1.49T | $763.1B |
| Jun 30, 2026 | $1.27T | $706.6B |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $1.13T | $572.5B |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $1.05T | $505.7B |
TSM vs. its peers
Against 5 of its largest technology peers, TSM's +36.0% year-to-date return beats 2 of them. The strongest of the group this year is Micron Technology (MU, +184.3%).
| Company | Price | YTD | P/E | AI verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) | $413.35 | +36.0% | 26.8 | HOLD |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) | $173.73 | −6.8% | 22.0 | SELL |
| Broadcom (AVGO) | $345.22 | −0.3% | 44.1 | HOLD |
| Micron Technology (MU) | $811.30 | +184.3% | 10.9 | HOLD |
| Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) | $552.90 | +158.2% | 118.1 | BUY |
| Intel (INTC) | $62.50 | +69.4% | — | HOLD |
TSM stock: common questions
What is the TSM stock price target?
20 Wall Street analysts put the average 12-month target at $586.69, in a range of $440.00–$1000.00, versus a recent price of $413.35. Stock Pulse 247's model projects about $430.18 over the next month.
Is TSM a buy right now?
Our AI model currently rates TSM a HOLD at 68% confidence. Among analysts, 20 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 1 Hold and 0 Sell. Neither is personal advice — weigh them with your own research and risk tolerance.
How has TSM stock performed this year?
Since the start of 2026 the stock has risen 36.0%, ahead of the S&P 500 (+11.4%) and ahead of the technology sector fund XLK (+21.1%). On a one-year view it is up 40.0%, 28.5 points better than the S&P 500. The last month (−7.1%) continues the three-month decline (−4.0%).
What is TSM's 52-week high and low?
TSM has traded between $266.82 and $487.47 over the past 52 weeks; at $413.35 it is 15.2% below its 52-week high of $487.47 and 54.9% above its 52-week low of $266.82.
What sector is TSM in, and who are its peers?
TSM is in the technology sector (semiconductors). Its largest peers on Stock Pulse 247 include NVIDIA (NVDA), Broadcom (AVGO), Micron Technology (MU), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD).
How accurate is the TSM forecast?
It's a model estimate from price history, technical indicators and analyst targets, not a guarantee — no model predicts short-term moves reliably. Use it as one input alongside your own research.
How this works: the forecast combines TSM's price history, momentum indicators (RSI, MACD, moving averages), volatility and analyst targets into one estimate. It's a model, not a guarantee.